Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 11:08 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 53%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto12 ago 26, 16:29 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
PolymarketWill Democrats sweep the New England House and Senate races?
KalshiWhich Senate races will be within 5%?
PolymarketWhich Senate races will be within 1%?
PolymarketIn which Senate races, will the top 2 candidates combined recieve 95% or more of the vote?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves the same as Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdemcorefoursenatesweep/will-democrats-sweep-the-core-four-senate-races-in-2026/kxdemcorefoursenatesweep-26nov03
- If Democrats win the 2026 Senate elections in ALL of the following states: Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, AND Maine, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sources from the states of Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine.
- (Identical market to: source market)