KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Sì 58%+2.0pt
Qualità del mercato
67 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
115,5 €
Liquidità
141,2K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
58.0% / 62.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
13 gen 26, 15:00 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races?
KalshiWill Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
PolymarketWhich Senate races will be within 5%?
PolymarketWhich Senate races will be within 1%?
PolymarketRegole
If Democrats win the 2026 Senate elections in ALL of the following states: Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, AND Maine, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market requires ALL specified candidates/parties/options to win their respective elections for a Yes resolution.
- If even one loses, the entire market resolves to No. For parliamentary elections, the party with the most seats wins.
- For referenda, the specified option must achieve the required threshold.
- For indirect elections, the ultimate officeholder matters, not intermediate selectors.
- Postponed elections remain open until rescheduled or two years from original date.
Mercati aperti
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+49 altri esiti
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
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- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
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+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
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- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
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- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
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- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
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- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races??
- Kalshi quota Yes al 58% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races??
- Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Democrats win the 2026 Senate elections in ALL of the following states: Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, AND Maine, then the market resolves to Yes.