KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 73%
Qualità del mercato
68 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
115,6 €
Liquidità
30,6K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
27.0% / 29.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
13 gen 26, 15:00 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?
KalshiWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the 2026 U.S. Midterm Elections?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
If Democrats win the governorships of ALL of the following states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, AND Nevada in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market requires ALL specified candidates/parties/options to win their respective elections for a Yes resolution.
- If even one loses, the entire market resolves to No. For parliamentary elections, the party with the most seats wins.
- For referenda, the specified option must achieve the required threshold.
- For indirect elections, the ultimate officeholder matters, not intermediate selectors.
- Postponed elections remain open until rescheduled or two years from original date.
Mercati aperti
Politics
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
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- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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+45 altri esiti
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- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races??
- Kalshi quota No al 73% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races??
- Will Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Democrats win the governorships of ALL of the following states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, AND Nevada in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.