KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3% 39.6%-15.0ptIn testa tra 8 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3% 39.6%-15.0ptQualità del mercato
69 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
14,3K €
Open interest
13,3K €
Open interest medioSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
5 ott 26, 21:00 UTC25 ott 27, 14:00 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Brazil presidential runoff: which countries will Flávio Bolsonaro win?
KalshiBrazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?
KalshiBrazil presidential runoff: who will win the vote abroad?
KalshiBrazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent
Kalshi🇧🇷 Will Brazil’s 2026 presidential runoff be decided by less than 3 percentage points?
Manifold MarketsBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
PolymarketRegole
If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is within 0% to 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- The margin of victory is the share of valid votes (votos válidos, excluding blank and null votes) received by the candidate named in the market minus the share received by the other candidate in the runoff if the named candidate wins, or the share of the candidate that finishes first if the named candidate loses. If the named candidate wins, the margin will be positive; if the named candidate loses, the margin will be negative; if the named candidate ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Regole per ogni esito
- Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3%
- If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is within 0% to 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6%
- If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is within 3% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lula da Silva, 0-3%
- If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is within 0% to 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥9%
- If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is at or above 9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flávio Bolsonaro, 6-9%
- If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is within 6% to 9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lula da Silva, 3-6%
- If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is within 3% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lula da Silva, 6-9%
- If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is within 6% to 9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lula da Silva, ≥9%
- If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is at or above 9%, then the market resolves to Yes.