KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
At least 48% 98%In testa tra 9 esiti
At least 48% 98%Qualità del mercato
59 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,6K €
Open interest
1,5K €
Open interest bassoSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
5 ott 26, 21:00 UTC25 ott 27, 14:00 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- The percentage is Flávio Bolsonaro's share of the valid votes cast in the second round (runoff), calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.
Regole per ogni esito
- At least 48%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 49%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 49% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 50%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 51%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 51% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 52%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 53%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 53% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 54%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 55%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 55% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 56%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 56% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.