Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?
PoliticaOne-OffElezioneAmerica Latina1a
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Roraima 97%In testa tra 7 esiti
Roraima 97%Qualità del mercato
66 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
6,2K €
Open interest
7,7K €
Open interest medioSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 minuti fa
5 ott 26, 21:00 UTC25 ott 27, 14:00 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Tocantins in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: Rank is based on runoff vote totals only In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. Each market ranks the runoff votes cast in the named state, as reported by the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE). Votes cast abroad are not part of any state.
Regole per ogni esito
- Roraima
- If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Roraima in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tocantins
- If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Tocantins in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Minas Gerais
- If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Minas Gerais in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Amapá
- If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Amapá in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Amazonas
- If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Amazonas in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pará
- If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Pará in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alagoas
- If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Alagoas in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.