PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 80%-6.3pt
Qualità del mercato
33 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
344,1 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
10.7% / 29.2%
Spread
18.5 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
4
Variazione 7g
-8.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
27 ott 25, 17:52 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will Thomas Kwa leave OpenAI?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman leave OpenAI before Strong AGI is discovered by any organization?
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KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI.
- An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercati aperti
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume totale
- 224,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 160,5K €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 altri esiti
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POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 344,9K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026??
- Polymarket quota No al 80% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026??
- Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.