PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 91%-3.8pt
Qualità del mercato
83 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
15K €
Liquidità
85,6K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
8.8% / 9.8%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
14
Variazione 7g
+3.6 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
30 gen 26, 23:31 UTC31 dic 26, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
PolymarketWill Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
KalshiWill Alberta vote to secede from Canada?
KalshiWill Alberta join the US?
PolymarketKRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
PolymarketWill Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?
KalshiRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
- The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt29.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
+38 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 114,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4 Mln €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.4pt51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt18%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-4.7pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+5.0pt48.5%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt2%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.4pt14%
+48 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.7%
- Gavin Newsom14.6%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 185,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson-8.0pt71.6%
- Ulf Kristersson+9.0pt27.4%
- Ebba Busch+0.4pt1%
+7 altri esiti
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- What will Trump say during his bilateral with the Taoiseach of Ireland?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026??
- Polymarket quota No al 91% al 12 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026??
- Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
- Dove altro è quotato Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Manifold Markets.