Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 90.4%
Previsori
39
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto17 mag 25, 20:46 UTC31 dic 26, 11:11 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will there be verified U.S. federal government actions intended to influence an Alberta independence referendum?
Manifold MarketsScottish independence referendum called in 2026?
KalshiWill the Greenlandic Parliament pass a resolution by November 15 to schedule a national independence referendum?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2027 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?
Manifold MarketsWill Greenland hold an independence referendum in 2026?
PredictItWill Alberta join the US?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to YES if, by December 31, 2026, the Canadian province of Alberta holds a referendum in which a majority of voters cast ballots in favour of Alberta's independence from Canada.
- If no such referendum occurs by the specified date, or if a province-wide referendum with at least 33% voter turnout is held prior to the date and declared defeated, the market will resolve to NO.
- The referendum does not have to be legally binding or ultimately result in succession.
- Many similar independence referendums around the world have had questionable legal binding basis.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Alberta votes YES in independence referendum by end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 90% al 12 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Alberta votes YES in independence referendum by end of 2026??
- Alberta votes YES in independence referendum by end of 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Alberta votes YES in independence referendum by end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to YES if, by December 31, 2026, the Canadian province of Alberta holds a referendum in which a majority of voters cast ballots in favour of Alberta's independence from Canada.
- Dove altro è quotato Alberta votes YES in independence referendum by end of 2026??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.