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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

1.5% (24h)One-OffPoliticaGeopoliticaMiddle East6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 7%-0.0%
Qualita del mercato

61 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

20,4K €

Liquidità

16,5K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

6.0% / 7.0%

Spread

16.7%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

-1.5%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 2 minuti fa

1 mag 26, 22:1731 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes7%

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
  • A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
  • The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified.
  • A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.

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Attivi in questi argomenti

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Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
  • A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
  • The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified.
  • A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.