KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
0.1 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticaGeopoliticaMiddle East5m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attualeNo 93%
Qualita del mercato
77 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
3,6K €
Liquidità
17,2K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
7.2% / 7.3%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread strettoVariazione 7g
+3.9 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 minuti fa
1 mag 26, 22:1531 dic 26, 0:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Yes7%
Trend del volume
$4.1k3 lug23g di dati27 lug
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
- A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
- The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified.
- A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.