PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 95%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
13,8K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
4.0% / 6.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
17
Variazione 7g
-1.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
20 nov 25, 23:16 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the majority of Russians cease to support "the actions of the Russian armed forces in Ukraine" in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any member of the US Armed Forces die in Greenland in 2026?
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PolymarketWill a new fighter jet enter service (publicly) in the United States armed forces before 2030
Manifold MarketsIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
PolymarketIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by which date?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees to limit the number of personnel in its armed forces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An official pledge by Ukraine to limit the number of personnel in its armed forces will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
- A qualifying agreement must include a commitment by Ukraine to limit the total number of personnel in its armed forces.
- This includes any specific numerical cap on the number of personnel Ukraine may have in its armed forces, or any proportional limit on Ukrainian armed forces personnel (e.g., a commitment to reduce the size of the armed forces by a percentage of its current size).
- Limits on the number of personnel in specific branches of the Ukrainian armed forces will not count.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-6.0pt74%
- September 18-6.0pt69%
- September 11-10.0pt61%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 363K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)+0.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt3%
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+3.0pt79.2%
- Yes-3.0pt20.8%
- Volume totale
- 9,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 245,5K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.1pt49.6%
- October 31-1.0pt29.1%
- September 30-1.0pt12%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 301%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 62,8 Mln €
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027??
- Polymarket quota No al 95% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027??
- Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees to limit the number of personnel in its armed forces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.