PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
September 23 98%-0.3ptIn testa tra 13 esiti
Qualità del mercato
47 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
15,4K €
Liquidità
11,3K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
22.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
3
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
17 set 26, 17:58 UTC30 set 26, 19:59 UTC
Trend
Vinta
Prima della chiusura: 100% ·
Persa
Prima della chiusura: 0% ·
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 0,1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- No
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Iran and Oman announce a permanent Hormuz shipping scheme by October 31?
Manifold MarketsFree flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a kinetic strike is conducted on, or forceful seizure of control is taken of, a commercial ship within the defined area on the specified date, between 12:00 AM and 11:59 PM GST (UTC+04:00).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The defined area consists of the Persian Gulf, the Strait of Hormuz, and the Gulf of Oman.
- An incident occurring outside these three bodies of water will not qualify, including in the Arabian Sea, the Gulf of Aden, or the Red Sea.
- No attribution is required.
- A qualifying incident will count regardless of the identity of the party responsible, regardless of whether any state or group claims responsibility, and regardless of whether responsibility is denied, disputed, or never established.