PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibrato
Probabilità implicita attuale
No 98%+0.1pt
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualità
Volume 24h
—
Liquidità
3,8K €
Liquidità media
Bid / Ask
1.2% / 3.6%
Spread
2.4 pt
Spread moderato
Commenti
0
Variazione 7g
-3.6 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
14 ago 26, 20:10 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Esito24hProbabilità
Regole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Phoebe Gates is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31??
Polymarket quota No al 98% al 8 settembre 2026.
Quando si risolve Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31??
Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
Come viene liquidato Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31??
Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Phoebe Gates is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.