PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
1480+ 81%In testa tra 5 esiti
1480+ 81%Qualità del mercato
37 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
524,5 €
Liquidità
703,8 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
8.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 20 minuti fa
28 set 26, 14:29 UTC30 giu 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Text Arena Debut?
PolymarketNext Grok Model (4.8+): Text Arena Debut?
PolymarketNext Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
PolymarketNext Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?
PolymarketWhich AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegole
On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3).
- Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Meta "Watermelon" model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
- Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.