PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: No
Risolto: 2 lug 2026, 11:34
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Esito Vincente
No
A 7 giorni
—
A 24 ore
100%
ConsensoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 100%
Qualità del mercato
23 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
1,1K €
Liquidità
—
Liquidità sconosciutaBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Variazione 7g
-1.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 60 giorni fa
Obsoleto3 mar 26, 23:1830 giu 26, 0:00
Cronologia delle Probabilità
No100%
Yes0%
100%
0%
Regole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
- A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
- The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified.
- A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
