José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
0.1 pt (24h)RegolamentazioneYearlyEuropeCrime & Justice3m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 97%+0.1pt
Qualità del mercato
71 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
161 €
Liquidità
19,9K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
2.5% / 2.9%
Spread
0.4 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
22
Variazione 7g
-0.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
19 mag 26, 17:23 UTC31 dic 26, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by which date?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will remain open through December 31, 2026, or until the specified individual is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison.
- Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
- Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
- If at any point the investigation or any resulting criminal case against the specified individual formally ends without any possibility of a jail/prison sentence being issued, including due to no charges being filed, charges being dismissed, an acquittal, or any other situation in which no judgment is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
