Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
0.5 pt (24h)GeopoliticaOne-OffMedio Oriente29g
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
November 30 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Riferimento salvato
November 30 26%In testa tra 8 esiti
November 30 26%Qualità del mercato
27 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
178,1 €
Liquidità
348,8 €
Bassa liquiditàOpen interest
1,7K USD
Bid / Ask
— / —
November 30Spread
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Commenti
1
Variazione 7g
+0.2 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 minuti fa
2 set 26, 21:39 UTC1 dic 26, 04:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
October 15Persa
September 11Persa
September 18Persa
September 30Persa
September 4Persa
September 7Persa
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- No
Principali detentori
Caricamento dei principali detentori
Profondità di mercato · November 30
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a continuous 14-day period during which Israel does not take a qualifying military action against Lebanon that begins at any time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
- The first day of the 14-day period will be the calendar date (ET) after the most recent qualifying military action (or the date of market creation, if no qualifying action has occurred).
- The period runs through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day.
- This market resolves to “Yes” if any such period is completed where the most recent qualifying military action occurred on or before the specified end date (ET).
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel, that directly impacts Lebanon.