Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March?
Geopolitica
PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: No
Risolto: 1 mar 2024, 07:04
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Probabilità implicita attuale
No 100%
Qualita del mercato
15 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
—
Liquidità sconosciutaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 147 giorni fa
Obsoleto28 gen 24, 1:3129 feb 24, 0:00
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Regole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between January 27, 11:00 AM ET and February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.
- An official ceasefire agreement requires public recognition by both parties. Any form of informal, unratified, or verbal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. The ceasefire must last at least 24 hours and have begun before the resolution date. For example, if the ceasefire begins on January 31, this market would resolve to "Yes" if the ceasefire continues for 24 hours.
- This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media sources.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+7.4pt77%
- October 31+14.0pt60%
- September 30+11.5pt41%
+17 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 18 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22100%
- August 25+0.4pt100%
- August 31+3.0pt96%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No-5.0pt62.4%
- Yes+5.0pt37.6%
- Volume totale
- 8,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 288,8K €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Volume totale
- 51,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 249,8K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)72%
- New People (NL)-0.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.1pt5%
+5 altri esiti
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 202768%
- December+3.5pt54%
- September 30,+3.0pt25%
+8 altri esiti
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March??
- Polymarket quota No al 100% al 31 marzo 2026.
- Quando si risolve Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March??
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? dovrebbe risolversi il 29 febbraio 2024.
- Come viene liquidato Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between January 27, 11:00 AM ET and February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.