PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 96%+0.6pt
Qualità del mercato
77 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
2,7K €
Liquidità
39,1K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
3.3% / 4.5%
Spread
1.2 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-1.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
5 nov 25, 19:43 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Russia nuclear test by which date?
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FutuurRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran conducts a nuclear test by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by Iran that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
- Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
- Tests not explicitly claimed by Iran may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to Iran.
- For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to Iran.
Mercati aperti
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 altri esiti
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- 25,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
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- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
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- Volume totale
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- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
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+16 altri esiti
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- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Volume totale
- 6,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 107,6K €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Volume totale
- 1,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 104,5K €
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
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- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Iran nuclear test before 2027??
- Polymarket quota No al 96% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Iran nuclear test before 2027??
- Iran nuclear test before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Iran nuclear test before 2027??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran conducts a nuclear test by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET.