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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Geopolitica
  3. Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

0.2% (24h)One-OffGeopoliticaMiddle East6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
December 31
December 31 9%
Qualita del mercato

64 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

1,5K €

Liquidità

28,7K €

Alta liquidità
Bid / Ask

1.6% / 1.8%

Spread

12.5%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

-0.1%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 9 minuti fa

4 mar 26, 18:4731 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

December 319%

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe.
  • An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Mercati Correlati

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

4,5 Mln €
December 31: 68%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

1,3 Mln €
July 31: 56%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

839,6K €
June 30: 31%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

4,6K €
Sì: 1.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

How long will “indefinite extension” US x Iran ceasefire hold? (Weeks)

1,9K €
3 weeks+ (May 12th, 1pm): 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
US-Iran nuclear deal?

US-Iran nuclear deal?

765,4 €
Before July: 8%KalshiKALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,623.61+2.20%EthereumETH$1,650.13+1.53%SolanaSOL$65.10+1.55%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.61%XRPXRP$1.12+0.32%BNBBNB$594.92+1.62%

Notizie Correlate

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsNo-win bets keep Iran regime change odds high as market eyes 2027Blockchain.NewsMajor cryptocurrencies under pressure as oil jumps 3%CoindeskYear-end odds on Israel–Indonesia ties shift in PolymarketBlockchain.NewsUS Sanctions Iran’s Nobitex Crypto Exchange Over Sanctions EvasionBlockchain.News

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe.
  • An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.