PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
December 31 54%+5.0ptIn testa tra 5 esiti
Qualità del mercato
58 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
428,1 €
Liquidità
2K €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-6.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
10 lug 26, 22:23 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5, or a model that is clearly recognized as xAI’s next flagship generation succeeding Grok 4.
- Models released under the Grok 4 generation, including Grok 4.6, Grok 4.7, or similar variants, will not qualify.
- Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will not count unless they are explicitly branded as Grok 5 or otherwise clearly announced by xAI as its next flagship Grok generation.
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
Mercati aperti
AIPOLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
- Alibaba+2.0pt69%
- Moonshot-9.5pt14%
- Z.ai-2.3pt6%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 75,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 61,5K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.3pt68.9%
- ChatGPT+1.9pt15.5%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.8%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+2.5pt85.4%
- Moonshot-0.3pt9.7%
- Z.ai-3.4pt1.9%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.05%+3.0pt99%
- Above 2.25%98%
- Above 2.55%+18.0pt94%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 61,1K €
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 2.7%+4.0pt96%
- Above 4.5%+22.0pt43%
- Above 5.6%+2.0pt13%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 altri esiti
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Best AI this week
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Grok 5 released by which date??
- Polymarket quota December 31 al 54% al 17 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Grok 5 released by which date??
- Grok 5 released by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Grok 5 released by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET).