PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Google
Risolto: 28 set 2026, 07:25
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Esito Vincente
A 7 giorni
—
A 24 ore
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Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 28 set 2026, 07:18 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Google100%
Anthropic0%
MiniMax0%
DeepSeek0%
Z.ai0%
Xiaomi0%
Nvidia0%
Meta0%
xAI0%
GoogleVinta
DeepSeekPersa
Z.aiPersa
OpenAIPersa
TencentPersa
XiaomiPersa
NvidiaPersa
AnthropicPersa
MiniMaxPersa
QwenPersa
MetaPersa
xAIPersa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
PolymarketWhen will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?
KalshiWill any frontier AI lab publicly commit to a Human Preservation constraint in model architecture before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI lab consult a theologian for alignment research in 2026?
Manifold Marketswill a paper released *before 2030* by a frontier AI lab have one of their AIs as a co-author?
Manifold MarketsWill the next Millennium problem be solved by an AI lab or a mathematics department?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the second highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of September 21 to 27, 2026.
- A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 21 to 27, 2026.
- The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
- This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 21 to 27, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 28, 2026 are first displayed.
- If the figures for the week of September 28, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on October 2, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 21 to 27, 2026 at that time.
- If no data is available for the week of September 21 to 27, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".