Will Yuri Oganessian live to see the announcement of a new chemical element discovery?
Russia / UkraineOne-OffScienza4aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 71%
Previsori
2
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto27 ago 26, 05:31 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- The market resolves to YES if, while Yuri Oganessian is alive, the International Union of Pure and Applied Chemistry (IUPAC) or the IUPAC/IUPAP Joint Working Party (JWP) officially announces the validation and recognition of the discovery of any new chemical element with an atomic number of 119 or greater.
- The official IUPAC announcement of discovery validation (similar to the historical verifications for elements 113, 115, 117, and 118) will serve as the primary source of truth.
- The market resolves to NO if Yuri Oganessian passes away before such an official announcement of validation is publicly released by IUPAC.
- Informal or unverified claims of synthesis, papers published in peer-reviewed journals without joint IUPAC/IUPAP validation, or temporary placeholder systematic names do not suffice to trigger a "YES" resolution.
- Formal validation from IUPAC/IUPAP is required.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Yuri Oganessian live to see the announcement of a new chemical element discovery??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 71% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Yuri Oganessian live to see the announcement of a new chemical element discovery??
- Will Yuri Oganessian live to see the announcement of a new chemical element discovery? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will Yuri Oganessian live to see the announcement of a new chemical element discovery??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria