Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 76.1%
Previsori
40
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
27 ago 23, 15:37 UTC8 dic 50, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Volodymyr Zelenskyy departure announced?
KalshiWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be re-elected as President of Ukraine before 2028
Manifold MarketsWhen will Volodymyr Zelenskyy announce national elections?
Manifold MarketsWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy stop being president of Ukraine before the Russia-Ukraine war ends.
Manifold MarketsWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine through the end of 2026?
FutuurWhere will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves when one of them is confirmed dead and the other is alive.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+4.0pt77%
- September 18+4.0pt72%
- September 11+8.0pt67%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 512,6K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-0.8pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt50.4%
- October 31-2.5pt27.8%
- September 30-1.0pt12.2%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+5.0pt84.2%
- Yes-5.0pt15.8%
- Volume totale
- 9,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 266,5K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume totale
- 56,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 170,4K €
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Vladimir Putin outlast Volodymyr Zelenskyy??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 76% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Vladimir Putin outlast Volodymyr Zelenskyy??
- Will Vladimir Putin outlast Volodymyr Zelenskyy? dovrebbe risolversi il 8 dicembre 2050.
- Come viene liquidato Will Vladimir Putin outlast Volodymyr Zelenskyy??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves when one of them is confirmed dead and the other is alive.