Will US 10-year treasury yield exceed 6 percent before 2028?
One-OffFedInflazioneObbligazioni e titoli di StatoPolitica commercialeBanche centrali1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 50.4%
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto15 set 26, 02:07 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if on any daily reporting date before January 1, 2028, the official 10-year US Treasury yield is reported at or above 6.00%.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- The primary source of truth for resolution is:
- The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED) series DGS10 (Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity).
- If FRED is unavailable or ceases publication, the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates ("10 Yr" column) published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury will be used as the secondary source.
