Will Ukraine have partial control over Crimea by the end of 2026?
One-OffRussia / UkraineGeopolitica3m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 94.6%
Previsori
89
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto16 feb 23, 16:58 UTC31 dic 26, 21:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Ukraine have partial control over Crimea by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsBy the time a ceasefire or peace treaty between Ukraine & Russia is signed, will UA partially control Crimea?
Manifold MarketsRussia to control Crimea through the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Ukraine control any of Crimea before it takes back most of Luhansk or Donetsk?
Manifold MarketsU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRegole
To be clear, I mean at least partial control, so full control is included.
Mercati aperti
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 473K €
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
- United Russia (ER)+0.6pt100%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.1pt0%
- A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+5 altri esiti
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt7%
- September 30,-0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA+0.5pt8%
- International Court of Justice-1.0pt6%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- 325–339-0.5pt37.1%
- 340–354+2.0pt24.7%
- 310–324-5.0pt22.7%
POLYMARKETBank of Russia decision in September?
- No Change-1.0pt68.7%
- Decrease+1.5pt28.3%
- Increase-1.3pt3%
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
- Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Ukraine have partial control over Crimea by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 95% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Ukraine have partial control over Crimea by the end of 2026??
- Will Ukraine have partial control over Crimea by the end of 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Ukraine have partial control over Crimea by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: To be clear, I mean at least partial control, so full control is included.