Will Ukraine fire an ATACMS missile into Russia before September 1st 2026?
GeopoliticaOne-OffRussia / Ucraina1m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 98.2%
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17
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto15 mag 24, 16:34 UTC5 dic 26, 22:59 UTC
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Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Ukraine has fired an ATACMS missile into Russia before September 1st 2026.
- If there is only weak evidence that this has occurred, this question resolves as N/A. If there is no evidence, then this question resolves as NO.
- "Russia" is defined as its 1991 borders.
- Crimea/Donbas are not Russia.
