Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 54.3%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto6 ago 26, 13:07 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Russia recognize the independence of Transnistria in 2026?
FutuurWhen will NATO dissolve?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture Lyman in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, on or before December 31, 2030, at 11:59 PM UTC, the self-proclaimed Pridnestrovian Moldavian Republic (PMR, commonly known as Transnistria) ceases to exist as a de facto independent breakaway state.
- This condition will be met if any of the following events occur:
- The de facto authorities in Tiraspol formally agree to dissolve their parallel state structures and fully reintegrate into the legal, fiscal, and administrative framework of the Republic of Moldova, with Chisinau assuming complete administrative and security control over the region.
- The de facto government and military/security forces of the PMR are disbanded, surrendered, or removed, and no successor breakaway administration maintains de facto control over the territory.
- The territory is officially annexed or absorbed by another internationally recognized state (such as the Russian Federation) and ceases to operate under its own self-proclaimed independent authority.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 581,3K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume totale
- 55,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 96,8K €
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Transnistria dissolve by EOY 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 54% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Transnistria dissolve by EOY 2030??
- Will Transnistria dissolve by EOY 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will Transnistria dissolve by EOY 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria