Will there be a cure for autism before 2032?
RegolamentazioneOne-OffSalute e medicinaGeopoliticaScienza5aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 96.4%
Previsori
25
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto7 feb 23, 19:18 UTC1 gen 32, 08:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will there be a cure for schizophrenia before 2032?
Manifold MarketsBy 2030, will there be a cure to aging?
Manifold MarketsBy 2050, will there be a cure to aging?
Manifold MarketsBy 2040, will there be a cure to aging?
Manifold MarketsLongevity escape velocity before 2030?
Manifold MarketsTestosterone unscheduled/rescheduled more permissively in US by end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegole
"Cure" here means any treatment that can change someone's personality such that they're no longer diagnosed as autistic, or can prevent a newborn from being diagnosed.
- (Must be an actual change to the person, not a change to the diagnosis criteiria.)
- Doesn't need to be widely available or approved by any regulatory agency, just needs to exist and be shown to work without any significant doubt on the matter.
- An active brain device would count.
- Embryo selection would not count, since that's just "choosing a different person".
