Will the world economy grow by more than X% in any single year before 2030?
InflationOne-OffMacro & EconomyEconomia3a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
growth > 3% 97.2%In testa tra 9 esiti
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 46 minuti fa
In ritardo4 lug 24, 07:52 UTC1 mag 30, 16:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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ForecastExRegole
First eligible year is 2024, last one is 2029.
- Resolved using official figures of inflation adjusted GDP.
- If possible taking the median of the figures published by The World Bank, the IMF, and the UN, and in any case trying to keep to the spirit of the original question as much as possible.
Mercati aperti
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 89,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 541,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 30,7K €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 334,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 12,8K €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 77,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 5,5K €
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- August Inflation US - Annual
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the world economy grow by more than X% in any single year before 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota growth > 3% al 97% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the world economy grow by more than X% in any single year before 2030??
- Will the world economy grow by more than X% in any single year before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 maggio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will the world economy grow by more than X% in any single year before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: First eligible year is 2024, last one is 2029.