Will the US impose antidumping duties on Russian palladium imports by the end of 2026?
Russia / UcrainaOne-OffIAPolitica commercialeMaterie prime2mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 05:41 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 98%
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Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo16 feb 26, 18:33 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will palladium prices increase by more than 5% due to U.S. antidumping duties on Russian supply by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the full AD/CVD case on Russian palladium result in a duty order by Oct 31, 2026?
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FutuurWill the Dec-26 palladium futures settle above $1,000 on October 30, 2026? (precious metals) (commodities) (PGM)?
ForecastExWill an AD duty order on unwrought palladium from Russia be issued by Oct 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China restrict exports of palladium on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria: Resolve YES if the U.S. Department of Commerce publishes an antidumping duty order on unwrought palladium imports from Russia (HTS 7110.21.0000) in the Federal Register by December 31, 2026.
- Background: On February 10, 2026, Commerce announced a preliminary antidumping determination with a 132.83% margin for the Russia-wide entity.
- For a final duty order to be issued, BOTH of the following must occur:
- Commerce final affirmative determination (expected ~April 28, 2026)
- USITC final affirmative injury determination (expected ~June-September 2026)
- ✅ Feb 10, 2026: Preliminary AD determination (132.83% rate)
