China vs US: who will be first to impose a ban on releasing open weight AIs above a certain threshold?
CinaCustom4aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeChina 64.3%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto12 lug 26, 20:53 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the US or China impose a ban on releasing open weight AIs above a certain threshold before 2030
Manifold MarketsWill the US impose antidumping duties on Russian palladium imports by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS to impose tariffs on Denmark's imports before the 2028 elections?
FutuurWill Llama 4 be fully open-weight?
Manifold MarketsWill the US government introduce any domestic restrictions on open-weight LLMs by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the United States impose additional tariffs on China by December 31, 2026?
ForecastExRegole
N/A if neither happens before 2030
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Bayesian/will-the-us-or-china-impose-a-ban-o)
