Will US government action cause a non-Anthropic company to restrict availability of a model in 2026?
IAOne-Off3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 73.3%
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Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo13 giu 26, 15:41 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Apparent prior restraint doesn't count; the model must be available to some set of users and then have reduced availability.
- The reduced availability must be on-surface-appearance-obviously due to US government action.
- Exception: Ceasing to support any services in some country (e.g. OpenAI removing a country from https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/supported-countries) does NOT count.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will US government action cause a non-Anthropic company to restrict availability of a model in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 73% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will US government action cause a non-Anthropic company to restrict availability of a model in 2026??
- Will US government action cause a non-Anthropic company to restrict availability of a model in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will US government action cause a non-Anthropic company to restrict availability of a model in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Apparent prior restraint doesn't count; the model must be available to some set of users and then have reduced availability.