Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 88.2%
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130
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto8 apr 23, 03:06 UTC2 gen 30, 02:59 UTC
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There needs to be direct armed conflict, so stuff like cold war or proxy wars in general don't count.
- US providing weapons to Ukraine (or any other country) but not operating them through its military also doesn't count.
- In case of doubt, I'll ask random people within my social circle (not Russians, Americans and not Manifold users) whether the US is at war with Russia.
