Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 83%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto17 ott 23, 01:14 UTC2 gen 30, 04:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Israel recognize a state of Palestine before the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Finland recognize a state of Palestine before 2030
Manifold MarketsWill the US officially recognize the sovereignty of the State of Palestine by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
PolymarketWho will recognize Palestine before 2027?
KalshiRegole
Resolves based on whether the wikipedia page "State of Palestine" uses the past tense, as in "The State of Palestine was..." instead of the current "The State of Palestine is..."
- I will also use common sense to avoid vandalism etc and to resolve the question of whether it still exists but the present/past tense is the main criteria by which I will judge the question in order to avoid controversy.