KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeNew Zealand 13.4%In testa tra 13 esiti
Qualita del mercato
42 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
8,8 €
Liquidità
29,7K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
3.1% / 9.8%
Spread
6.7 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 27 minuti fa
4 dic 25, 15:001 gen 27, 4:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Finland7%
Confronta le piattaforme· Italy
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto82% di corrispondenza · verificato | Media | 16% | 0pt | 164,3 € | 70,5K € | 7 minuti fa | Apri → |
| KalshiQuesta pagina | Bassa | 14% | -2pt | 8,8 € | 29,7K € | 27 minuti fa |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
1.0 pts5m
-0.5pt20.4%
-1.0pt14.8%
-2.5pt13%
+8 altri esiti
56 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquidità
Volume totale661,4K €
Volume 24h164,3 €
POLYMARKETRegole
If Italy recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Official diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:
- - A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state - Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level - Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates) - Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations - An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty - A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister
- The following do **NOT** constitute recognition:
- - Trade relations or commercial agreements alone - Consular relations without diplomatic relations - Participation in the same international conference - Humanitarian assistance or aid - Cultural or educational exchanges - Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities) - Statements of "support" without formal recognition - De facto cooperation without formal recognition - Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred - Parliamentary resolutions without executive action
- **For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$105 lug15g di dati27 lug
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If Italy recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Official diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:
- - A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state - Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level - Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates) - Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations - An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty - A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister
- The following do **NOT** constitute recognition:
- - Trade relations or commercial agreements alone - Consular relations without diplomatic relations - Participation in the same international conference - Humanitarian assistance or aid - Cultural or educational exchanges - Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities) - Statements of "support" without formal recognition - De facto cooperation without formal recognition - Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred - Parliamentary resolutions without executive action
- **For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge.