Will the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030?
InflationCustomEquitiesBusiness & Corporate3aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 69.2%
Previsori
1
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo14 mag 26, 13:01 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the Shiller P/E Ratio exceed 50 by Jan 1, 2030?
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings (CAPE) ratio, commonly known as the Shiller P/E ratio, reaches a value higher than its previous all-time high at any point before January 1, 2030.
- Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
- The primary source for verification will be the data provided by the following website: https://shillerdata.com/.
- The Shiller P/E, or CAPE ratio, is a valuation measure usually applied to the S&P 500 index.
- It is defined as the price of the index divided by the average of ten years of earnings, adjusted for inflation.
Mercati aperti
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
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- 91 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
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+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 569,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 47,4K €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 359,2K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt54.5%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.5%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
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- Above $3,80095%
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- Above $4,00044%
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- Volume totale
- 79,7K €
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+5.0pt86%
- Above 0.2%36%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 18,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 7,3K €
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- CPI in September
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 69% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030??
- Will the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria