Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 55.9%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto17 mar 25, 18:05 UTC31 dic 39, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030?
Manifold MarketsCrude Oil all time high by which date?
PolymarketBitcoin all time high by which date?
PolymarketKOSPI all-time high before 2028?
PolymarketWill the S&P500 be within 1% of all time high at the end of September 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Bitcoin go below $30,000 before reaching a new all time high?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market resolves to YES if at any point between now and January 1, 2040, the closing price of the S&P 500 falls more than 50% from its all-time high closing price at the time this market was created or from a new all-time high reached after this market was created.
- Only closing prices will be considered.
- For example:
- The S&P 500 current closing ATH is 6,144.15.
- If it falls below 3072.28 (50% drop) at any point before January 1, 2040, this market resolves to YES.
- If the S&P 500 reaches a new ATH (e.g., 10,000) and then falls below 5,000 (50% drop from that new ATH) before January 1, 2040, this market resolves to YES.
Mercati aperti
EquitiesPOLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-0.5pt79%
- Apple-0.7pt13%
- Alphabet7%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 91K €
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.99-1.0pt16.2%
- 8,000 to 8,199.99+1.0pt15.2%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9910.5%
+24 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 5,6 Mln €
KALSHINasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- 33,000.01 or above+5.0pt17.5%
- 30,500 to 30,999.99-1.0pt6.8%
- 31,000 to 31,499.99+1.0pt6.8%
+27 altri esiti
POLYMARKETS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9?
- Down75.3%
- Up24.8%
- Volume totale
- 27,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 27,4K €
KALSHINasdaq-100 price on Sep 9, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 29,070 or above90%
- 29,080 or above90%
- 29,090 or above90%
+97 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 31,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 22,5K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.25–$2.5T+8.5pt26.2%
- $2.0–$2.25T-1.0pt21.4%
- $1.75–$2.0T-1.0pt18.4%
+7 altri esiti
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 9?
- STRC hits $100 by…
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- S&P price on Sep 9, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- S&P 500 Daily Up/Down
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- S&P price on Sep 9, 2026 at 10am EDT?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the S&P 500 fall more than 50% from its all time high by Jan 1, 2040??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 56% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the S&P 500 fall more than 50% from its all time high by Jan 1, 2040??
- Will the S&P 500 fall more than 50% from its all time high by Jan 1, 2040? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2039.
- Come viene liquidato Will the S&P 500 fall more than 50% from its all time high by Jan 1, 2040??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market resolves to YES if at any point between now and January 1, 2040, the closing price of the S&P 500 falls more than 50% from its all-time high closing price at the time this market was created or from a new all-time high reached after this market was created.