KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attuale7,800 to 7,999.99 12%-1.0%In testa tra 27 esiti
Qualita del mercato
73 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
9,3K €
Liquidità
3,2 Mln €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
12.0% / 13.0%
Spread
8.3%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 minuti fa
23 dic 25, 15:0031 dic 26, 21:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
7,800 to 7,999.9912%
Confronta le piattaforme· 7,800 to 7,999.99
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Media | 12% | — | 9,3K € | 3,2 Mln € | 19 minuti fa | |
 Manifold Markets83% di corrispondenza · verificato | — | 97% | — | — | — | 3 giorni fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets
S&P 500 closing price on Dec 31 2026
5m
97%
+0.5%93.5%
92%
+16 altri esiti
Previsione della comunità16 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegole
If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is below 4000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close on December 31, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is between 4000-4199.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Grandi operazioni
$1.0k98.0%KALSHI6,800 to 6,999.99 — No6 gg fa
KALSHI6,800 to 6,999.99 — No6 gg faTrend del volume
$10.6k2 lug25g di dati26 lug
Mercati Correlati
CXMT IPO Closing Market Cap Above __?
21,3K €1T: 99%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How high will the S&P get this year?
6,5K €7,800 or above: 57%KALSHI
KALSHI
How low will the S&P get this year?
3,2K €5,900 or below: 14%KALSHI
KALSHI
Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
2,3K €33,000.01 or above: 20%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?
2,2K €↑$170B: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
1,8K €$2B: 14%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETAttivi in questi argomenti
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If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is below 4000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close on December 31, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is between 4000-4199.99, then the market resolves to Yes.