KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above 334.300 95%In testa tra 25 esiti
Qualita del mercato
71 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
8,3K €
Liquidità
37,9K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 22 minuti fa
16 ago 26, 19:0011 set 26, 12:29
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for August 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:BLS - CPI-U
- The Underlying is the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Consumer Price Index News Release Table 1 for August 2026.
- Specifically, the value used will be the “All items” value under the “Unadjusted indexes” column for August 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the first value published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the scheduled Consumer Price Index release for August 2026.
- Subsequent revisions will not affect the market.
Mercati aperti
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 36,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,5 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+2.0pt51.5%
- No-2.0pt48.5%
- Volume totale
- 6,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 64,4K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 106,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 13,5K €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting+3.5pt30%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5K €
KALSHIHow high will inflation get this year?
- At least 4.5%-4.8pt25%
- At least 5.5%-5.0pt17%
- At least 5.0%-8.2pt13%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 371,5K €
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per CPI-U index in August?
- Kalshi quota Above 334.300 al 95% al 21 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve CPI-U index in August?
- CPI-U index in August dovrebbe risolversi il 11 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato CPI-U index in August?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for August 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.