Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 85.8%
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 29 minuti fa
7 mar 24, 13:26 UTC31 dic 99, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the Sloth Bear (Melursus ursinus) become extinct in the current century?
Manifold MarketsWill the Western Gorilla (Gorilla gorilla) become extinct in the current century?
Manifold MarketsWill the Kouprey (Bos sauveli) become extinct in the current century?
Manifold MarketsWill the Dodo bird be de-extinct by the end of 2028?
FutuurExtinct mammoth hybrids to be born alive by the end of 2027?
FutuurWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiRegole
This market will resolve YES if the Koala, also known as Koala Bear, is extinct in 2100.
- It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100.
- Note: The market is about the Koala species, regardless of subspecies.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Koala
- IUCN red list of threatened species: https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/16892/166496779
- Please help trading this market and posting news about the species in the comments, in order to get the most accurate assessment of its extinction risk.
Mercati aperti
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 211K €
- Volume 24h
- 110,5K €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 20275%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 28,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 21,3K €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2K €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
- Before 2030+18.0pt39%
- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 104,9K €
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Natural Disaster in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the Koala (Phascolarctos cinereus) become extinct in the current century??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 86% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the Koala (Phascolarctos cinereus) become extinct in the current century??
- Will the Koala (Phascolarctos cinereus) become extinct in the current century? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2099.
- Come viene liquidato Will the Koala (Phascolarctos cinereus) become extinct in the current century??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve YES if the Koala, also known as Koala Bear, is extinct in 2100.