Will the AAA national average gas price hit $4.500 before the November 3 midterms?
InflazioneDailyMaterie prime
Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: No (98.2%)
Risolto: 3 nov 2026, 05:12
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How high will the US national average gas price get in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS Average Gas Price Is $4.000 or less on any day in November 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will the US average gas price hit in November 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will gas hit by end of November?
PolymarketWhat will gas hit the week of November 2?
PolymarketGas prices on November 3?
PolymarketAsset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
Resolves YES if the daily national average price for a gallon of regular unleaded gasoline, as published by AAA at https://gasprices.aaa.com/ (the "Today's AAA National Average" figure), is $4.500 or higher on ANY day from 2026-09-11 through 2026-11-02 inclusive.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- This is a touch question: one qualifying day at or above $4.500 is enough, and the price falling back afterwards does not matter.
- Oracle: the AAA national average shown at gasprices.aaa.com.
- If AAA stops publishing the figure, resolution falls back to the EIA weekly U.S. Regular All Formulations Retail Gasoline Price (https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/gasdiesel/) for the same window.
- Reference values on 2026-09-10: today $4.2770, yesterday $4.2245, one week ago $4.1436, one month ago $4.0091, one year ago $3.1938.
