Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeOver $4.00 100%In testa tra 17 esiti
Previsori
47
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto25 mar 26, 10:17 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
US Average Gas Price Is $4.000 or more on November 1 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow high will US unemployment go in 2026?
PolymarketHow high will US diesel prices get in 2026?
KalshiUS national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
PolymarketPeak US National Debt before 2027?
PolymarketUS national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
LimitlessRegole
Resolution criteria
- The national average for regular gasoline is tracked by AAA, which publishes weekly updates at gasprices.aaa.com.
- Each answer resolves YES if the national average price reaches or exceeds that threshold at any point during 2026, and NO if it does not.
- Resolution will be determined by the highest daily average reported by AAA for the year.
- As of March 19, 2026, the national average gas price was $3.81 per gallon, up from $3.53 on March 12.
- The recent spike was driven by Middle East geopolitical tensions, with the national average up 60 cents in two weeks as Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz and crude oil prices surged to $119 per barrel.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — How high will US gas prices get in 2026? · Above $4.60 44%
Mercati aperti
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52.5%
- No change-3.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 89,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,3 Mln €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 323,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 25,3K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 523K €
- Volume 24h
- 22K €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt54.3%
- September Meeting+3.0pt45.7%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETArgentina Monthly Inflation - August
- 1.5-1.7%-9.9pt68.8%
- 1.8-2.0%+8.2pt26%
- 1.2-1.4%-3.0pt3.1%
+5 altri esiti
KALSHIWill the Citrini scenario happen?
- No83%
- Yes17%
- Volume totale
- 22,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 4,4K €
- August Inflation US - Annual
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Core PCE YoY - August 2026
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.4% in August 2026?
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.2% in August 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Egg prices up in August?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How high will the US national average gas price get in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Over $4.00 al 100% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How high will the US national average gas price get in 2026??
- How high will the US national average gas price get in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato How high will the US national average gas price get in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria
- Dove altro è quotato How high will the US national average gas price get in 2026??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Kalshi.