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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Regolamentazione
  3. Will SpaceX complete an initial public offering (IPO) by the end of 2026 and at what valuation?
Manifold Markets

Will SpaceX complete an initial public offering (IPO) by the end of 2026 and at what valuation?

RegolamentazioneIATecnologia6m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSenza KYC
Previsione della comunità attuale
Manifold Markets
No IPO by Dec 31, 2026 0.2%
In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori

17

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 3 giorni fa

Obsoleto
19 feb 26, 21:3031 dic 26, 23:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
Manifold Markets
No IPO by Dec 31, 2026
0.2%
Manifold Markets
Yes — valuation under $500B
0.2%
Manifold Markets
Yes — valuation $500B–$1T
0.2%

Esito scelto

Yes — valuation $1T–$1.5T4%

Regole

Resolution Criteria

Manifold Markets
  • SpaceX has confirmed a target IPO date of 2026.
  • This market resolves based on whether an IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, and at what valuation.
  • Resolution will be determined by the official IPO pricing as reported by major financial news outlets (Bloomberg, Reuters, CNBC, Financial Times) and SEC filings.
  • If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, the market resolves to "No IPO by June 30, 2026." If an IPO occurs after June 30, 2026, but before year-end, it resolves to the appropriate valuation bracket.
  • If market conditions prevent an IPO from occurring by December 31, 2026, the market resolves to "No IPO by June 30, 2026."

Mercati Correlati

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Manifold Markets

SpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2026

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≥$1T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
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Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,937.52+2.68%SolanaSOL$65.45+3.04%EthereumETH$1,659.85+2.30%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.96%BNBBNB$600.65+2.80%XRPXRP$1.12+0.87%

Notizie Correlate

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Regole

Resolution Criteria

Manifold Markets
  • SpaceX has confirmed a target IPO date of 2026.
  • This market resolves based on whether an IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, and at what valuation.
  • Resolution will be determined by the official IPO pricing as reported by major financial news outlets (Bloomberg, Reuters, CNBC, Financial Times) and SEC filings.
  • If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, the market resolves to "No IPO by June 30, 2026." If an IPO occurs after June 30, 2026, but before year-end, it resolves to the appropriate valuation bracket.
  • If market conditions prevent an IPO from occurring by December 31, 2026, the market resolves to "No IPO by June 30, 2026."