Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale≥$1.75T 100%In testa tra 9 esiti
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto21 mag 26, 19:10 UTC1 lug 27, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
OpenAI highest valuation by end of June 2027
Manifold MarketsAnthropic highest valuation by end of June 2027
Manifold MarketsAnthropic above 10T valuation on June 14 2027
Manifold MarketsAnthropic above 40T valuation on June 14 2027
Manifold MarketsOpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
PolymarketWhen will OpenAI hold its IPO?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for SpaceX credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2027-06-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2027-06-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
