Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 82.3%
Previsori
19
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto28 mar 24, 15:51 UTC5 apr 28, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?
KalshiWill Pete Hegseth serve a full term as Secretary of Defense (until January 2029)?
Manifold MarketsWill Caroline Ellison serve the full 24 months in prison?
Manifold MarketsTrump to serve his full term?
FutuurWill the next U.S. President (elected in Nov. 2024 & inaugurated in Jan. 2025) serve their full 4-year term?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRegole
I criteri di risoluzione non sono ancora disponibili per questo mercato. Questa sezione verra popolata con i prossimi aggiornamenti quando le regole della fonte saranno salvate.
Mercati aperti
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+14.5pt70.3%
- Yes-14.5pt29.7%
- Volume totale
- 353,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 9,2K €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume totale
- 9,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 7K €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt28%
- October 31+1.0pt14%
- September 30-1.0pt6%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-1.0pt21%
- 2026+0.2pt5%
- Volume totale
- 499,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 4,2K €
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.0pt42.2%
- 60++2.5pt39.2%
- 20–40+2.5pt10.8%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-9.5pt12%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- Will the Pentagon win the Stars and Stripes firing lawsuit?
- Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- Who will be arrested before 2027?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will SBF serve his full 25 year sentence??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 82% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will SBF serve his full 25 year sentence??
- Will SBF serve his full 25 year sentence? dovrebbe risolversi il 5 aprile 2028.