Will Russia launch a full scale military attack against Poland by the end of 2029?
GeopoliticaOne-OffRussia / UkraineEurope3a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 87.9%
Previsori
33
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 50 minuti fa
In ritardo14 gen 24, 15:13 UTC31 dic 29, 22:59 UTC
Trend
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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If Russia exerts kinetic military action in the territory of Poland by December 31st, 2029, then the resolution of this market will be “Yes”.
- Kinetic military action excludes electronic and cybernetic war resources and includes the shooting of projectiles, troops, and military vehicles deployment inside a territory.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Russia launch a full scale military attack against Poland by the end of 2029??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 88% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Russia launch a full scale military attack against Poland by the end of 2029??
- Will Russia launch a full scale military attack against Poland by the end of 2029? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will Russia launch a full scale military attack against Poland by the end of 2029??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: If Russia exerts kinetic military action in the territory of Poland by December 31st, 2029, then the resolution of this market will be “Yes”.