Will Russia detonate a nuclear device on Ukraine soil by December 31, 2026?
GeopoliticaOne-OffRussia / Ukraine3m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 95.2%
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto8 nov 24, 17:24 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
The delivery method of the device is irrelevant.
- The device itself must detonate causing a nuclear chain reaction and explosion.
- A dirty bomb does not cause a chain reaction and so will resolve to “No.”
- The territory of Ukraine is considered to be all territory claimed prior to the 2014 Russian invasion and seizure of Crimea and Donbas.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Russia detonate a nuclear device on Ukraine soil by December 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 95% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Russia detonate a nuclear device on Ukraine soil by December 31, 2026??
- Will Russia detonate a nuclear device on Ukraine soil by December 31, 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Russia detonate a nuclear device on Ukraine soil by December 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The delivery method of the device is irrelevant.