Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 88.3%
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12
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 20 ore fa
Obsoleto29 set 22, 05:21 UTC7 giu 31, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Israel be a 'full' or 'flawed democracy' according to the Democracy Index in 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the UK be a democracy or flawed democracy in 2034?
Manifold MarketsWill marijuana cease to be classified as a Schedule 1 drug under the U.S. Controlled Substances Act by January 1, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the climate change activists "Last Generation" ("Letzte Generation") be classified as a criminal organization?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia target Kyiv on?
PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if Russia reaches a 6.00 Democracy Index according to the Economist's 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, or 2030 reports.
- (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democracy_Index)