Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 96.6%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto1 gen 26, 04:30 UTC1 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump flee to Russia?
Manifold MarketsWill Putin flee Russia before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Putin flee to the PRC before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if Putin leaves Russia, under circumstances that can reasonably be considered 'fleeing' (not a normal diplomatic visit, ongoing power struggle, alternate leader in place in Moscow etc)
- Otherwise resolves NO
- Update 2026-01-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If there are multiple Putin impersonators or body doubles, the market will resolve based on the real Putin's actions, not those of any impersonators.